Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.171255 0.206572 0.244588 0.288256 0.336741 0.388648 0.448143
2025-02-16 0.117442 0.163003 0.216262 0.281873 0.359322 0.446720 0.551687
2025-02-23 0.079665 0.128647 0.190966 0.273006 0.375264 0.495874 0.646255
2025-03-02 0.050374 0.097320 0.162989 0.255570 0.377208 0.526642 0.719231
2025-03-09 0.035442 0.081546 0.151899 0.257013 0.401065 0.583639 0.824780
2025-03-16 0.022762 0.064938 0.136085 0.249169 0.410884 0.622156 0.907740
2025-03-23 0.017273 0.058963 0.135009 0.261425 0.447617 0.695868 1.036572
2025-03-30 0.011413 0.049580 0.126353 0.260850 0.465605 0.744734 1.134095
2025-04-06 0.007423 0.042190 0.119462 0.261738 0.484947 0.795268 1.234294
2025-04-13 0.005063 0.037574 0.116666 0.268545 0.512726 0.857555 1.350827
2025-04-20 0.003493 0.034197 0.115544 0.277708 0.543986 0.925019 1.475139
2025-04-27 0.002278 0.030868 0.113757 0.285276 0.572728 0.989270 1.595902
2025-05-04 0.001086 0.025562 0.106470 0.282597 0.585807 1.032363 1.689941
2025-05-11 0.000544 0.022592 0.103984 0.288363 0.612313 1.095206 1.812097
2025-05-18 0.000164 0.018660 0.097844 0.286395 0.625957 1.139441 1.909079
2025-05-25 0.000005 0.013573 0.086388 0.272369 0.618622 1.152203 1.961948
2025-06-01 NaN 0.011661 0.083876 0.276212 0.641190 1.209627 2.078229
2025-06-08 NaN 0.008822 0.076783 0.269327 0.644756 1.238213 2.153729
2025-06-15 NaN 0.008462 0.078957 0.283024 0.684597 1.322533 2.309775
2025-06-22 NaN 0.006859 0.075231 0.282888 0.699799 1.369217 2.412203
2025-06-29 NaN 0.005608 0.072268 0.284099 0.717254 1.419479 2.520207
2025-07-06 NaN 0.004961 0.071912 0.291441 0.745939 1.487520 2.654609
2025-07-13 NaN 0.004541 0.072550 0.301203 0.779210 1.563063 2.800511